Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.310442 1.478469 1.662143 1.878202 2.125877 2.401470 2.732121
2026-01-18 1.078011 1.305599 1.574646 1.917713 2.345730 2.864955 3.546826
2026-01-25 0.896300 1.147751 1.464018 1.894308 2.469524 3.219032 4.281151
2026-02-01 0.746053 0.999206 1.334010 1.814385 2.494413 3.435339 4.858052
2026-02-08 0.642742 0.894386 1.241814 1.763751 2.540528 3.673851 5.489776
2026-02-15 0.565618 0.813788 1.169584 1.726281 2.592645 3.918551 6.158354
2026-02-22 0.527584 0.783488 1.163787 1.782523 2.787994 4.400321 7.269831
2026-03-01 0.486953 0.743754 1.137787 1.801737 2.923713 4.801088 8.306788
2026-03-08 0.440160 0.688935 1.081473 1.763613 2.956959 5.031055 9.075415
2026-03-15 0.398615 0.637979 1.025440 1.718124 2.969391 5.222500 9.798287
2026-03-22 0.384621 0.630464 1.039488 1.793484 3.203834 5.843764 11.451501
2026-03-29 0.369261 0.618882 1.044966 1.853335 3.416006 6.450896 13.181575
2026-04-05 0.350421 0.600718 1.039260 1.896176 3.609956 7.068296 15.092664
2026-04-12 0.330250 0.578383 1.024057 1.919822 3.770825 7.647281 17.047974
2026-04-19 0.304981 0.544372 0.983951 1.890061 3.818361 7.994815 18.540234
2026-04-26 0.275977 0.500752 0.921466 1.807951 3.743670 8.062064 19.363047
2026-05-03 0.253681 0.467866 0.876477 1.756599 3.728814 8.262220 20.566132
2026-05-10 0.235160 0.440643 0.840010 1.718944 3.739295 8.522838 21.985714
2026-05-17 0.228076 0.435239 0.846594 1.774774 3.972522 9.359586 25.184932
2026-05-24 0.217866 0.422630 0.837152 1.793837 4.121037 10.009357 28.005406
2026-05-31 0.203264 0.399814 0.804278 1.755876 4.124758 10.284436 29.766466
2026-06-07 0.189288 0.377195 0.769864 1.710599 4.104142 10.491583 31.367826
2026-06-14 0.186363 0.377652 0.785418 1.785589 4.403945 11.633476 36.309829